IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Northeast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.0	#324
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.4	#170
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#322

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#305

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.8%	4.5%	1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.7	15.7

.500 or above	14.4%	32.6%	10.8%
.500 or above in Conference	29.7%	45.2%	26.6%
Conference Champion	2.1%	4.1%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	22.5%	12.5%	24.5%

First Four	1.1%	2.4%	0.8%
First Round	1.2%	3.0%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Away) - 16.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.7	0.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.9	0.0 - 1.6
Quad 2	0.1 - 1.7	0.1 - 3.3
Quad 3	0.9 - 5.7	1.0 - 9.0
Quad 4	8.7 - 11.3	9.7 - 20.3

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	206	@ Holy Cross	L	61-68	16%
Nov 16, 2018	216	Army	L	70-77	28%
Nov 17, 2018	207	@ Brown	L	72-79	18%
Nov 18, 2018	306	Umass Lowell	L	75-77	44%
Nov 24, 2018	269	@ Binghamton	L	66-70	27%
Nov 27, 2018	193	Hartford	L	67-75	32%
Nov 29, 2018	78	@ Boston College	L	65-82	4%
Dec 02, 2018	293	@ Lafayette	L	71-74	31%
Dec 10, 2018	276	@ Dartmouth	L	67-71	27%
Dec 19, 2018	52	@ Seton Hall	L	63-83	3%
Dec 22, 2018	31	@ St. John's	L	62-84	2%
Dec 29, 2018	306	Umass Lowell	L	75-77	54%
Jan 03, 2019	225	LIU Brooklyn	L	73-79	39%
Jan 05, 2019	313	Central Connecticut St.	L	67-68	56%
Jan 10, 2019	215	@ Wagner	L	65-72	21%
Jan 12, 2019	315	Bryant	L	75-76	57%
Jan 19, 2019	318	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	71-72	38%
Jan 21, 2019	215	Wagner	L	65-72	38%
Jan 24, 2019	233	@ Robert Morris	L	66-72	22%
Jan 26, 2019	160	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	69-79	14%
Jan 31, 2019	331	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	67-66	45%
Feb 02, 2019	318	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	71-72	57%
Feb 07, 2019	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	72-77	44%
Feb 09, 2019	331	Mount St. Mary's	W	67-66	65%
Feb 14, 2019	315	@ Bryant	L	75-76	37%
Feb 16, 2019	225	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	73-79	21%
Feb 21, 2019	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	72-77	25%
Feb 23, 2019	313	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	67-68	37%
Feb 28, 2019	233	Robert Morris	L	66-72	41%
Mar 02, 2019	160	St. Francis (PA)	L	69-79	27%
Projected Record						9.7 - 20.3	6.8 - 11.2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.0		2.1	1st
2nd											0.1	0.7	1.4	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0				4.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.2	2.6	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0					6.1	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.1	3.1	2.2	0.5	0.0							8.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.9	3.8	2.2	0.4	0.0								9.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	3.2	5.2	2.4	0.4	0.0									11.7	6th
7th					0.1	0.8	3.7	5.5	2.3	0.3	0.0										12.8	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.7	4.8	5.2	2.5	0.2	0.0											14.6	8th
9th		0.0	0.8	2.5	5.1	4.9	1.7	0.2	0.0												15.3	9th
10th	0.7	2.4	4.3	4.5	2.6	1.0	0.1														15.5	10th

Total	0.7	2.4	5.1	7.2	9.4	11.5	11.2	11.8	10.9	8.9	7.0	5.8	3.6	2.2	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.0	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	99.0%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	74.3%	0.4		0.4	0.1	0.0
14-4	49.2%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-5	21.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0
12-6	5.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.4%	0.0					0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.2	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		52.5%	52.5%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.0%		63.3%	63.3%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.3%		14.1%	14.1%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.6%		30.9%	30.9%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
14-4	1.2%		17.8%	17.8%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	1.0
13-5	2.2%		12.3%	12.3%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	2.0
12-6	3.6%		9.5%	9.5%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.3	3.3
11-7	5.8%		5.1%	5.1%		16.0																0.0	0.3	5.5
10-8	7.0%		2.0%	2.0%		16.0																0.0	0.1	6.9
9-9	8.9%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	8.8
8-10	10.9%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	10.8
7-11	11.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
6-12	11.2%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
5-13	11.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
4-14	9.4%																							9.4
3-15	7.2%																							7.2
2-16	5.1%																							5.1
1-17	2.4%																							2.4
0-18	0.7%																							0.7

Total	100%		1.8%	1.8%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.4	98.2		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%